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Prediction for CME (2014-12-20T00:48:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-12-20T00:48Z
CME Note: associated to the X1.8 flare with peak time 2014-12-20T00:24Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending. Another shock was observed on 2014-12-23T10:33Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T14:28Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-22T10:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
Prediction Method Note:

NASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: low2 (256x30x90)
Ambient settings: a3b1f
WSA version: 2.2
(Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2)

Simulation done with a combination of 2 CMEs:

Model Inputs:
2014-12-19T00:27:00-CME-001 
2014-12-20T01:25:00-CME-001

Link to results: 
https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/7438/1

Lead Time: 21.78 hour(s)
Difference: 4.47 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Yaireska Collado (M2M Office) on 2014-12-21T16:41Z

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